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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Canada Post Workers Issue 72-Hour Strike Notice

 

The Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) has issued a 72-hour strike notice to Canada Post, putting the postal service on alert for potential disruptions starting Friday, November 15th. This notice affects both urban and rural mail carriers, as negotiations for a new contract have yet to yield an agreement.

The union’s decision comes after nearly a year of bargaining, with key issues such as wage increases, pensions, and medical leave remaining unresolved. Despite Canada Post’s offer of an 11.5% wage increase over four years, the union has rejected the proposal, citing insufficient progress on other critical matters.

CUPW President Jan Simpson emphasized that while the union is prepared to strike, the decision will depend on Canada Post’s actions in the coming days. The potential strike could significantly impact mail and parcel delivery, especially during the busy holiday season.

Canada Post has expressed concerns about the financial implications of a strike, noting that ongoing labor disputes could further strain its already challenging financial situation. The company reported significant losses in recent years, attributed to increased competition and higher delivery costs.

As the deadline approaches, both parties remain hopeful for a resolution that will prevent a disruption in services and ensure fair working conditions for postal workers across Canada.


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