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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Canada Post Workers Issue 72-Hour Strike Notice

 

The Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) has issued a 72-hour strike notice to Canada Post, putting the postal service on alert for potential disruptions starting Friday, November 15th. This notice affects both urban and rural mail carriers, as negotiations for a new contract have yet to yield an agreement.

The union’s decision comes after nearly a year of bargaining, with key issues such as wage increases, pensions, and medical leave remaining unresolved. Despite Canada Post’s offer of an 11.5% wage increase over four years, the union has rejected the proposal, citing insufficient progress on other critical matters.

CUPW President Jan Simpson emphasized that while the union is prepared to strike, the decision will depend on Canada Post’s actions in the coming days. The potential strike could significantly impact mail and parcel delivery, especially during the busy holiday season.

Canada Post has expressed concerns about the financial implications of a strike, noting that ongoing labor disputes could further strain its already challenging financial situation. The company reported significant losses in recent years, attributed to increased competition and higher delivery costs.

As the deadline approaches, both parties remain hopeful for a resolution that will prevent a disruption in services and ensure fair working conditions for postal workers across Canada.


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