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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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China Warns 'No One Will Win a Trade War' After Trump's Tariff Threat

 

 China has issued a stern warning to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump following his announcement of a 10% tariff on all Chinese imports. The Chinese Embassy in Washington emphasized that "no one will win a trade war," highlighting the mutual benefits of U.S.-China economic and trade cooperation.

Trump's proposed tariffs are part of his broader strategy to combat illegal immigration and drug trafficking, particularly fentanyl. He stated that these tariffs would remain until China takes significant measures to halt the flow of drugs into the United States.

Chinese officials have pushed back against these claims, pointing to recent efforts to curb the export of fentanyl precursors and other narcotics-related measures. The embassy spokesperson, Liu Pengyu, reiterated that the idea of China knowingly allowing fentanyl precursors to flow into the U.S. runs counter to facts and reality.

As tensions escalate, the global community watches closely, aware that a trade war between the world's two largest economies could have far-reaching consequences.



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