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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...

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China Warns 'No One Will Win a Trade War' After Trump's Tariff Threat

 

 China has issued a stern warning to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump following his announcement of a 10% tariff on all Chinese imports. The Chinese Embassy in Washington emphasized that "no one will win a trade war," highlighting the mutual benefits of U.S.-China economic and trade cooperation.

Trump's proposed tariffs are part of his broader strategy to combat illegal immigration and drug trafficking, particularly fentanyl. He stated that these tariffs would remain until China takes significant measures to halt the flow of drugs into the United States.

Chinese officials have pushed back against these claims, pointing to recent efforts to curb the export of fentanyl precursors and other narcotics-related measures. The embassy spokesperson, Liu Pengyu, reiterated that the idea of China knowingly allowing fentanyl precursors to flow into the U.S. runs counter to facts and reality.

As tensions escalate, the global community watches closely, aware that a trade war between the world's two largest economies could have far-reaching consequences.



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