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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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China Warns 'No One Will Win a Trade War' After Trump's Tariff Threat

 

 China has issued a stern warning to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump following his announcement of a 10% tariff on all Chinese imports. The Chinese Embassy in Washington emphasized that "no one will win a trade war," highlighting the mutual benefits of U.S.-China economic and trade cooperation.

Trump's proposed tariffs are part of his broader strategy to combat illegal immigration and drug trafficking, particularly fentanyl. He stated that these tariffs would remain until China takes significant measures to halt the flow of drugs into the United States.

Chinese officials have pushed back against these claims, pointing to recent efforts to curb the export of fentanyl precursors and other narcotics-related measures. The embassy spokesperson, Liu Pengyu, reiterated that the idea of China knowingly allowing fentanyl precursors to flow into the U.S. runs counter to facts and reality.

As tensions escalate, the global community watches closely, aware that a trade war between the world's two largest economies could have far-reaching consequences.



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