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Markets Brief: Iran Deal Hopes Drive Global Rally — TSX Eyes a Strong Open | May 29, 2026

It's been a week dominated by one headline: the U.S.-Iran war and the fragile hopes of a peace deal. Heading into the long weekend, markets are ending Friday on an optimistic note, with record-setting sessions in Asia and a strong tone across North America. Here's your full wrap. Canada — TSX After a rough patch mid-week, the TSX bounced back Thursday — its first gain since Monday's record close — finishing up around 0.7% to the 34,770s range, driven largely by a blockbuster round of Big Six bank earnings. All six of Canada's largest banks beat analysts' estimates for Q2 (quarter ended April 30), raising dividends and signalling cautious optimism despite the volatile global backdrop. RBC posted a standout quarter, with its Wealth Management division up 28% year-over-year. TD Bank earned $4.25 billion in adjusted net income ($2.38/share), topping expectations, and raised its dividend. CIBC's profit surged 43%, with adjusted EPS of $2.76 beating consensus by a wid...
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Conservatives Leverage Singh's Critique in Non-Confidence Motion


In a strategic move, the Conservative Party plans to introduce a non-confidence motion next week, utilizing NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh's own words to challenge the minority Liberal government. The motion quotes Singh's criticism of the Liberals, accusing them of succumbing to corporate greed by ordering binding arbitration in labor disputes involving the nation's largest rail yards.

The proposed motion aims to persuade New Democrats to join forces with the Conservatives, declaring a loss of confidence in Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his government. If successful, this motion could trigger an immediate election, a scenario the Conservatives are eager to see.

Government House Leader Karina Gould has announced plans to schedule opposition days for both the Conservatives and the NDP next week, providing a platform for this critical motion. The outcome of this political maneuver remains uncertain, as the NDP has previously taken a case-by-case approach to non-confidence votes.

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