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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Conservatives Leverage Singh's Critique in Non-Confidence Motion


In a strategic move, the Conservative Party plans to introduce a non-confidence motion next week, utilizing NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh's own words to challenge the minority Liberal government. The motion quotes Singh's criticism of the Liberals, accusing them of succumbing to corporate greed by ordering binding arbitration in labor disputes involving the nation's largest rail yards.

The proposed motion aims to persuade New Democrats to join forces with the Conservatives, declaring a loss of confidence in Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his government. If successful, this motion could trigger an immediate election, a scenario the Conservatives are eager to see.

Government House Leader Karina Gould has announced plans to schedule opposition days for both the Conservatives and the NDP next week, providing a platform for this critical motion. The outcome of this political maneuver remains uncertain, as the NDP has previously taken a case-by-case approach to non-confidence votes.

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