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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Conservatives Leverage Singh's Critique in Non-Confidence Motion


In a strategic move, the Conservative Party plans to introduce a non-confidence motion next week, utilizing NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh's own words to challenge the minority Liberal government. The motion quotes Singh's criticism of the Liberals, accusing them of succumbing to corporate greed by ordering binding arbitration in labor disputes involving the nation's largest rail yards.

The proposed motion aims to persuade New Democrats to join forces with the Conservatives, declaring a loss of confidence in Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his government. If successful, this motion could trigger an immediate election, a scenario the Conservatives are eager to see.

Government House Leader Karina Gould has announced plans to schedule opposition days for both the Conservatives and the NDP next week, providing a platform for this critical motion. The outcome of this political maneuver remains uncertain, as the NDP has previously taken a case-by-case approach to non-confidence votes.

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