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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Conservatives Leverage Singh's Critique in Non-Confidence Motion


In a strategic move, the Conservative Party plans to introduce a non-confidence motion next week, utilizing NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh's own words to challenge the minority Liberal government. The motion quotes Singh's criticism of the Liberals, accusing them of succumbing to corporate greed by ordering binding arbitration in labor disputes involving the nation's largest rail yards.

The proposed motion aims to persuade New Democrats to join forces with the Conservatives, declaring a loss of confidence in Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his government. If successful, this motion could trigger an immediate election, a scenario the Conservatives are eager to see.

Government House Leader Karina Gould has announced plans to schedule opposition days for both the Conservatives and the NDP next week, providing a platform for this critical motion. The outcome of this political maneuver remains uncertain, as the NDP has previously taken a case-by-case approach to non-confidence votes.

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