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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...

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Escalation in Middle East: Israeli Strikes in Gaza and Beirut Amid US Aid Deadline

 

In a series of recent escalations, Israeli airstrikes have resulted in significant casualties in Gaza and Beirut. On Monday, two Israeli strikes in Gaza killed at least 14 people, including two children and a woman. The strikes targeted a cafeteria in the Muwasi humanitarian zone west of Khan Younis, resulting in 11 deaths. Another strike hit a house in the Nuseirat refugee camp, killing three more individuals.

Simultaneously, Israeli airstrikes hit the southern suburbs of Beirut, causing extensive damage and raising regional tensions. These actions coincide with the expiration of a U.S.-imposed deadline for Israel to increase humanitarian aid to Gaza. Despite some steps taken by Israel, U.S. officials have indicated that the efforts are insufficient, potentially impacting American military support.

The situation remains volatile, with international aid groups urging for greater humanitarian access to the war-torn regions.


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