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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Escalation in Middle East: Israeli Strikes in Gaza and Beirut Amid US Aid Deadline

 

In a series of recent escalations, Israeli airstrikes have resulted in significant casualties in Gaza and Beirut. On Monday, two Israeli strikes in Gaza killed at least 14 people, including two children and a woman. The strikes targeted a cafeteria in the Muwasi humanitarian zone west of Khan Younis, resulting in 11 deaths. Another strike hit a house in the Nuseirat refugee camp, killing three more individuals.

Simultaneously, Israeli airstrikes hit the southern suburbs of Beirut, causing extensive damage and raising regional tensions. These actions coincide with the expiration of a U.S.-imposed deadline for Israel to increase humanitarian aid to Gaza. Despite some steps taken by Israel, U.S. officials have indicated that the efforts are insufficient, potentially impacting American military support.

The situation remains volatile, with international aid groups urging for greater humanitarian access to the war-torn regions.


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