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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Escalation in Middle East: Israeli Strikes in Gaza and Beirut Amid US Aid Deadline

 

In a series of recent escalations, Israeli airstrikes have resulted in significant casualties in Gaza and Beirut. On Monday, two Israeli strikes in Gaza killed at least 14 people, including two children and a woman. The strikes targeted a cafeteria in the Muwasi humanitarian zone west of Khan Younis, resulting in 11 deaths. Another strike hit a house in the Nuseirat refugee camp, killing three more individuals.

Simultaneously, Israeli airstrikes hit the southern suburbs of Beirut, causing extensive damage and raising regional tensions. These actions coincide with the expiration of a U.S.-imposed deadline for Israel to increase humanitarian aid to Gaza. Despite some steps taken by Israel, U.S. officials have indicated that the efforts are insufficient, potentially impacting American military support.

The situation remains volatile, with international aid groups urging for greater humanitarian access to the war-torn regions.


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