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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Escalation in Middle East: Israeli Strikes in Gaza and Beirut Amid US Aid Deadline

 

In a series of recent escalations, Israeli airstrikes have resulted in significant casualties in Gaza and Beirut. On Monday, two Israeli strikes in Gaza killed at least 14 people, including two children and a woman. The strikes targeted a cafeteria in the Muwasi humanitarian zone west of Khan Younis, resulting in 11 deaths. Another strike hit a house in the Nuseirat refugee camp, killing three more individuals.

Simultaneously, Israeli airstrikes hit the southern suburbs of Beirut, causing extensive damage and raising regional tensions. These actions coincide with the expiration of a U.S.-imposed deadline for Israel to increase humanitarian aid to Gaza. Despite some steps taken by Israel, U.S. officials have indicated that the efforts are insufficient, potentially impacting American military support.

The situation remains volatile, with international aid groups urging for greater humanitarian access to the war-torn regions.


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