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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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First Votes in U.S. Election Result in Trump-Harris Tie

 

In a surprising start to the U.S. presidential election, the first votes cast in the small community of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire, have resulted in a tie between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Each candidate received three votes, reflecting the incredibly close race that has been predicted by opinion polls.

Dixville Notch, known for its tradition of midnight voting, has once again kicked off Election Day with its early results. This tiny hamlet, with a population of just six, has been the first to report its results for decades. The tie underscores the intense competition between Trump and Harris as they vie for the presidency.

As the rest of the country prepares to cast their ballots, the early tie in Dixville Notch sets the stage for what promises to be a closely contested election. Both campaigns are making their final pushes to mobilize voters, with key battleground states expected to play a crucial role in determining the outcome.

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