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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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First Votes in U.S. Election Result in Trump-Harris Tie

 

In a surprising start to the U.S. presidential election, the first votes cast in the small community of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire, have resulted in a tie between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Each candidate received three votes, reflecting the incredibly close race that has been predicted by opinion polls.

Dixville Notch, known for its tradition of midnight voting, has once again kicked off Election Day with its early results. This tiny hamlet, with a population of just six, has been the first to report its results for decades. The tie underscores the intense competition between Trump and Harris as they vie for the presidency.

As the rest of the country prepares to cast their ballots, the early tie in Dixville Notch sets the stage for what promises to be a closely contested election. Both campaigns are making their final pushes to mobilize voters, with key battleground states expected to play a crucial role in determining the outcome.

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