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Canada’s Job Market Gains Momentum as Unemployment Drops to 6.5%

  I n October, Canada gained 66,600 jobs and the unemployment rate dropped 0.2 percentage points to 6.9 per cent.  Canada’s labour market showed renewed strength in November , with the unemployment rate falling to 6.5% as the economy added 53,000 jobs . This marks a positive shift after months of slower employment growth, suggesting resilience despite global economic uncertainties. Key Highlights: Unemployment Rate: Down to 6.5%, the lowest in several months. Job Creation: 53,000 new positions added, driven largely by full-time employment. Sector Growth: Gains were seen in professional services, healthcare, and construction, reflecting strong demand across diverse industries. Regional Trends: Ontario and British Columbia led the way in job creation, while some provinces experienced more modest growth. Economic Context: Analysts note that the increase in employment could ease concerns about consumer spending and economic slowdown. However, wage pressures and infla...
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Fiscal Challenges Ahead: U.S. Bonds Face Uncertainty Under Trump’s New Term

 

As Donald Trump begins his new term as U.S. President, the fiscal landscape presents significant challenges that could impact the nation’s bond market. The prospect of rising government debt levels has already influenced investor sentiment, pushing U.S. government bond yields higher.

Trump’s trade and tax policies are expected to reignite inflation, exacerbating the fiscal strain. This scenario has led to concerns among investors, often referred to as “bond vigilantes,” who may dump government debt over worries about increasing deficits. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has already risen to 4.479% in response to these concerns.

A critical hurdle for the new administration will be the reinstatement of the federal debt ceiling on January 2, 2025. This ceiling, which was suspended in 2023, must be approved by a majority of lawmakers. Past disputes over the debt limit have brought the country close to default, affecting its credit rating.

Analysts predict volatility in the bond market around these negotiations, even if a default is avoided. Measures such as Treasury puts or credit default swaps might be used to hedge against this volatility. The Treasury Department may need to employ extraordinary measures to fund the government until the so-called X date, when it can no longer meet all its obligations.

In summary, Trump’s presidency is expected to bring fiscal challenges that could strain the U.S. bond market, with rising deficits and potential volatility as key concerns for investors.


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