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New Energy Partnership to Be Announced in Calgary

  Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, seen here together last month, have been discussing a potential agreement focused on the energy sector for months.  Former Bank of England governor Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith are expected to unveil a major energy deal in Calgary this Thursday, according to a source familiar with the matter. The agreement is anticipated to focus on advancing clean energy initiatives while balancing Alberta’s traditional oil and gas strengths. Carney, who has been a vocal advocate for sustainable finance and climate-conscious investment, is set to join Smith in highlighting how the deal could position Alberta as a leader in energy transition. While details remain under wraps, the announcement is expected to emphasize collaboration between government and industry, aiming to attract investment, create jobs, and strengthen Canada’s role in global energy markets. The Calgary event underscores the growing importa...
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Fiscal Challenges Ahead: U.S. Bonds Face Uncertainty Under Trump’s New Term

 

As Donald Trump begins his new term as U.S. President, the fiscal landscape presents significant challenges that could impact the nation’s bond market. The prospect of rising government debt levels has already influenced investor sentiment, pushing U.S. government bond yields higher.

Trump’s trade and tax policies are expected to reignite inflation, exacerbating the fiscal strain. This scenario has led to concerns among investors, often referred to as “bond vigilantes,” who may dump government debt over worries about increasing deficits. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has already risen to 4.479% in response to these concerns.

A critical hurdle for the new administration will be the reinstatement of the federal debt ceiling on January 2, 2025. This ceiling, which was suspended in 2023, must be approved by a majority of lawmakers. Past disputes over the debt limit have brought the country close to default, affecting its credit rating.

Analysts predict volatility in the bond market around these negotiations, even if a default is avoided. Measures such as Treasury puts or credit default swaps might be used to hedge against this volatility. The Treasury Department may need to employ extraordinary measures to fund the government until the so-called X date, when it can no longer meet all its obligations.

In summary, Trump’s presidency is expected to bring fiscal challenges that could strain the U.S. bond market, with rising deficits and potential volatility as key concerns for investors.


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