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Five Key Tax Changes Coming in 2026: What Canadians Need to Know

  As 2026 approaches, Canadians can expect several important updates to the federal tax system. These changes affect retirement planning, income tax brackets, and a range of credits that influence how much individuals and families will owe—or save—when filing their returns. Here’s a quick look at five of the most notable adjustments. 1. Higher RRSP Contribution Limits Canadians will be able to contribute more to their Registered Retirement Savings Plans (RRSPs) in 2026, thanks to inflation indexing. The increased limit gives savers more room to reduce taxable income while building long‑term retirement security. 2. Updated Federal Tax Brackets Income tax brackets will shift upward to reflect inflation. This means more of your income will be taxed at lower rates, helping offset rising living costs and preventing “bracket creep,” where inflation pushes taxpayers into higher tax brackets without real income gains. 3. Increased Basic Personal Amount (BPA) The Basic Personal Amoun...

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Fiscal Challenges Ahead: U.S. Bonds Face Uncertainty Under Trump’s New Term

 

As Donald Trump begins his new term as U.S. President, the fiscal landscape presents significant challenges that could impact the nation’s bond market. The prospect of rising government debt levels has already influenced investor sentiment, pushing U.S. government bond yields higher.

Trump’s trade and tax policies are expected to reignite inflation, exacerbating the fiscal strain. This scenario has led to concerns among investors, often referred to as “bond vigilantes,” who may dump government debt over worries about increasing deficits. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has already risen to 4.479% in response to these concerns.

A critical hurdle for the new administration will be the reinstatement of the federal debt ceiling on January 2, 2025. This ceiling, which was suspended in 2023, must be approved by a majority of lawmakers. Past disputes over the debt limit have brought the country close to default, affecting its credit rating.

Analysts predict volatility in the bond market around these negotiations, even if a default is avoided. Measures such as Treasury puts or credit default swaps might be used to hedge against this volatility. The Treasury Department may need to employ extraordinary measures to fund the government until the so-called X date, when it can no longer meet all its obligations.

In summary, Trump’s presidency is expected to bring fiscal challenges that could strain the U.S. bond market, with rising deficits and potential volatility as key concerns for investors.


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