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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Israeli Cabinet to Vote on Ceasefire Deal with Lebanon

 

The Israeli cabinet is set to convene on Tuesday to vote on a proposed ceasefire deal with Lebanon, according to a senior Israeli official. This meeting comes amid ongoing hostilities and follows a year of cross-border hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah.

The proposed deal, backed by the United States, includes an Israeli military withdrawal from southern Lebanon and the deployment of Lebanese army troops in the border region within 60 days. A five-country committee, including France and chaired by the United States, will monitor compliance with the ceasefire.

Despite the diplomatic progress, tensions remain high as both sides continue to engage in military actions. Israeli airstrikes have targeted Hezbollah-controlled areas in Beirut, while Hezbollah has launched rocket attacks on Israel.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office has yet to comment on the reports, but the senior Israeli official confirmed that the cabinet meeting is intended to approve the ceasefire text.

The outcome of Tuesday's vote could mark a significant step towards ending the conflict and bringing stability to the region.




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