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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...

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Israeli Cabinet to Vote on Ceasefire Deal with Lebanon

 

The Israeli cabinet is set to convene on Tuesday to vote on a proposed ceasefire deal with Lebanon, according to a senior Israeli official. This meeting comes amid ongoing hostilities and follows a year of cross-border hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah.

The proposed deal, backed by the United States, includes an Israeli military withdrawal from southern Lebanon and the deployment of Lebanese army troops in the border region within 60 days. A five-country committee, including France and chaired by the United States, will monitor compliance with the ceasefire.

Despite the diplomatic progress, tensions remain high as both sides continue to engage in military actions. Israeli airstrikes have targeted Hezbollah-controlled areas in Beirut, while Hezbollah has launched rocket attacks on Israel.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office has yet to comment on the reports, but the senior Israeli official confirmed that the cabinet meeting is intended to approve the ceasefire text.

The outcome of Tuesday's vote could mark a significant step towards ending the conflict and bringing stability to the region.




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