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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Israeli Cabinet to Vote on Ceasefire Deal with Lebanon

 

The Israeli cabinet is set to convene on Tuesday to vote on a proposed ceasefire deal with Lebanon, according to a senior Israeli official. This meeting comes amid ongoing hostilities and follows a year of cross-border hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah.

The proposed deal, backed by the United States, includes an Israeli military withdrawal from southern Lebanon and the deployment of Lebanese army troops in the border region within 60 days. A five-country committee, including France and chaired by the United States, will monitor compliance with the ceasefire.

Despite the diplomatic progress, tensions remain high as both sides continue to engage in military actions. Israeli airstrikes have targeted Hezbollah-controlled areas in Beirut, while Hezbollah has launched rocket attacks on Israel.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office has yet to comment on the reports, but the senior Israeli official confirmed that the cabinet meeting is intended to approve the ceasefire text.

The outcome of Tuesday's vote could mark a significant step towards ending the conflict and bringing stability to the region.




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