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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Israeli Cabinet to Vote on Ceasefire Deal with Lebanon

 

The Israeli cabinet is set to convene on Tuesday to vote on a proposed ceasefire deal with Lebanon, according to a senior Israeli official. This meeting comes amid ongoing hostilities and follows a year of cross-border hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah.

The proposed deal, backed by the United States, includes an Israeli military withdrawal from southern Lebanon and the deployment of Lebanese army troops in the border region within 60 days. A five-country committee, including France and chaired by the United States, will monitor compliance with the ceasefire.

Despite the diplomatic progress, tensions remain high as both sides continue to engage in military actions. Israeli airstrikes have targeted Hezbollah-controlled areas in Beirut, while Hezbollah has launched rocket attacks on Israel.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office has yet to comment on the reports, but the senior Israeli official confirmed that the cabinet meeting is intended to approve the ceasefire text.

The outcome of Tuesday's vote could mark a significant step towards ending the conflict and bringing stability to the region.




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