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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Ottawa Prepares for Trump 2.0: Reinforcing Border Security

 

As President-elect Donald Trump gears up for his second term, Ottawa is taking proactive measures to ensure the security of Canada's borders. With Trump's aggressive immigration policies and mass deportation plans, Canadian officials are preparing for a potential influx of migrants seeking refuge.

Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland has emphasized that Canada's borders are "safe and secure" and that the country will continue to control who enters. The Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) have been preparing for months, anticipating increased migrant traffic at the border. Measures include acquiring more police cruisers, setting up permanent or semi-permanent buildings, and chartering buses to transport migrants if necessary.

Freeland's message to Canadians is clear: "We control our borders. Every Canadian has the absolute right to expect that our country chooses who comes here and who doesn't". This stance aims to reassure the public and deter any potential surge of undocumented immigrants fleeing the United States.

As the situation unfolds, Ottawa remains vigilant, ready to adapt to the challenges posed by Trump's immigration policies and ensure the safety and security of Canada's borders.

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