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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Ottawa Prepares for Trump 2.0: Reinforcing Border Security

 

As President-elect Donald Trump gears up for his second term, Ottawa is taking proactive measures to ensure the security of Canada's borders. With Trump's aggressive immigration policies and mass deportation plans, Canadian officials are preparing for a potential influx of migrants seeking refuge.

Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland has emphasized that Canada's borders are "safe and secure" and that the country will continue to control who enters. The Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) have been preparing for months, anticipating increased migrant traffic at the border. Measures include acquiring more police cruisers, setting up permanent or semi-permanent buildings, and chartering buses to transport migrants if necessary.

Freeland's message to Canadians is clear: "We control our borders. Every Canadian has the absolute right to expect that our country chooses who comes here and who doesn't". This stance aims to reassure the public and deter any potential surge of undocumented immigrants fleeing the United States.

As the situation unfolds, Ottawa remains vigilant, ready to adapt to the challenges posed by Trump's immigration policies and ensure the safety and security of Canada's borders.

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