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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Ottawa Prepares for Trump 2.0: Reinforcing Border Security

 

As President-elect Donald Trump gears up for his second term, Ottawa is taking proactive measures to ensure the security of Canada's borders. With Trump's aggressive immigration policies and mass deportation plans, Canadian officials are preparing for a potential influx of migrants seeking refuge.

Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland has emphasized that Canada's borders are "safe and secure" and that the country will continue to control who enters. The Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP) have been preparing for months, anticipating increased migrant traffic at the border. Measures include acquiring more police cruisers, setting up permanent or semi-permanent buildings, and chartering buses to transport migrants if necessary.

Freeland's message to Canadians is clear: "We control our borders. Every Canadian has the absolute right to expect that our country chooses who comes here and who doesn't". This stance aims to reassure the public and deter any potential surge of undocumented immigrants fleeing the United States.

As the situation unfolds, Ottawa remains vigilant, ready to adapt to the challenges posed by Trump's immigration policies and ensure the safety and security of Canada's borders.

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