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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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Postal Workers Union Files Unfair Labour Practice Complaint Over Canada Post Layoffs

 

The Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) has filed an unfair labour practice complaint with the Canada Industrial Relations Board over the recent layoffs of striking employees by Canada Post. The union claims that the layoffs, which have occurred as the strike by over 55,000 workers approaches the two-week mark, are an "intimidation tactic" that violates the Canada Labour Code.

Canada Post has stated that the layoffs are temporary and necessary due to the significant impact of the strike on its operations. However, the union argues that this move is an attempt to undermine the strike and pressure workers into returning to work.

CUPW National Grievance Officer Carl Girouard stated, "These layoffs are a clear violation of the labour code and an attempt to intimidate our members. We are confident that the Canada Industrial Relations Board will see through this tactic and rule in our favour."

Canada Post spokeswoman Lisa Liu responded, "We have received the complaint and are reviewing it. We deny any violation of the labour code and maintain that the layoffs are temporary and necessary."

The strike, which began over wages and working conditions, has now reached a critical point with both sides urging for a resolution. The federal government has also stepped in, urging both parties to return to the negotiating table with a greater sense of urgency.

The outcome of this complaint could have significant implications for the ongoing labour dispute and the future of Canada Post's operations.




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