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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Postal Workers Union Files Unfair Labour Practice Complaint Over Canada Post Layoffs

 

The Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) has filed an unfair labour practice complaint with the Canada Industrial Relations Board over the recent layoffs of striking employees by Canada Post. The union claims that the layoffs, which have occurred as the strike by over 55,000 workers approaches the two-week mark, are an "intimidation tactic" that violates the Canada Labour Code.

Canada Post has stated that the layoffs are temporary and necessary due to the significant impact of the strike on its operations. However, the union argues that this move is an attempt to undermine the strike and pressure workers into returning to work.

CUPW National Grievance Officer Carl Girouard stated, "These layoffs are a clear violation of the labour code and an attempt to intimidate our members. We are confident that the Canada Industrial Relations Board will see through this tactic and rule in our favour."

Canada Post spokeswoman Lisa Liu responded, "We have received the complaint and are reviewing it. We deny any violation of the labour code and maintain that the layoffs are temporary and necessary."

The strike, which began over wages and working conditions, has now reached a critical point with both sides urging for a resolution. The federal government has also stepped in, urging both parties to return to the negotiating table with a greater sense of urgency.

The outcome of this complaint could have significant implications for the ongoing labour dispute and the future of Canada Post's operations.




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