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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Postal Workers Union Files Unfair Labour Practice Complaint Over Canada Post Layoffs

 

The Canadian Union of Postal Workers (CUPW) has filed an unfair labour practice complaint with the Canada Industrial Relations Board over the recent layoffs of striking employees by Canada Post. The union claims that the layoffs, which have occurred as the strike by over 55,000 workers approaches the two-week mark, are an "intimidation tactic" that violates the Canada Labour Code.

Canada Post has stated that the layoffs are temporary and necessary due to the significant impact of the strike on its operations. However, the union argues that this move is an attempt to undermine the strike and pressure workers into returning to work.

CUPW National Grievance Officer Carl Girouard stated, "These layoffs are a clear violation of the labour code and an attempt to intimidate our members. We are confident that the Canada Industrial Relations Board will see through this tactic and rule in our favour."

Canada Post spokeswoman Lisa Liu responded, "We have received the complaint and are reviewing it. We deny any violation of the labour code and maintain that the layoffs are temporary and necessary."

The strike, which began over wages and working conditions, has now reached a critical point with both sides urging for a resolution. The federal government has also stepped in, urging both parties to return to the negotiating table with a greater sense of urgency.

The outcome of this complaint could have significant implications for the ongoing labour dispute and the future of Canada Post's operations.




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