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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Chrystia Freeland Steps Down as Finance Minister, Exits Trudeau's Cabinet

 

In a surprising turn of events, Chrystia Freeland has resigned from her position as Canada's Finance Minister and will be leaving Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's cabinet. The announcement came just hours before she was scheduled to present the fall economic statement.

Freeland, who has been a key figure in Trudeau's government, cited differences with the Prime Minister over the best path forward for Canada as the primary reason for her resignation. In her resignation letter, she expressed her belief that to be effective, a minister must have the full confidence of the Prime Minister, which she felt she no longer possessed.

The resignation has thrown the Liberal government's plans into disarray, with the fiscal update now in limbo. Freeland's departure has sparked reactions from various political figures, with some expressing shock and others pointing to it as a sign of internal discord within the Liberal Party.

Freeland's resignation marks a significant shift in Canadian politics, as she has been a prominent and influential member of Trudeau's cabinet. Her decision to step down underscores the challenges and complexities of political leadership in times of economic uncertainty.




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