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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Canada Faces Pressure to Provide Safe Haven for America's Trans Community Following Trump's Gender Order

 

In the wake of President Donald Trump's recent executive order, which mandates the recognition of only two sexes—male and female—there is growing pressure on the Canadian government to offer refuge to America's transgender community. The order, signed on Trump's first day back in office, has sparked widespread concern and backlash, particularly among LGBTQ+ advocates.

The executive order, titled "Defending Women from Gender Ideology Extremism and Restoring Biological Truth to the Federal Government," effectively rolls back protections for transgender individuals by requiring government documents to recognize only male and female as sexes. This move has left many transgender Americans feeling vulnerable and uncertain about their future.

In response, prominent trans activists in Canada are calling on the federal government to update travel safety guidelines for trans Canadians traveling to the U.S. and to consider offering asylum to those affected by the new policy. Fae Johnstone, executive director of the Society of Queer Momentum, has voiced concerns about the potential dangers trans individuals may face when crossing the border with passports that do not conform to the new U.S. regulations.

Canada has long been seen as a safe haven for LGBTQ+ individuals, offering comprehensive protections for gender identity and expression. However, recent events have highlighted the need for continued vigilance and support for the trans community, both domestically and internationally.

As the situation unfolds, it remains to be seen how the Canadian government will respond to the growing calls for action. For now, trans activists and allies continue to advocate for the rights and safety of transgender individuals on both sides of the border.


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