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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Putin Proposes Meeting with Trump to Discuss Ukraine War and Energy Prices

In a recent statement, Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed his desire to meet with U.S. President Donald Trump to discuss the ongoing Ukraine war and energy prices. Putin emphasized the importance of addressing these issues, which have been highlighted by Trump in the early days of his new administration.

Putin acknowledged that serious peace talks with Ukraine would be challenging unless the West pressured Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to cancel a 2022 decree that bars negotiations with the Russian leader. He described Trump as smart and pragmatic, and expressed hope that a meeting could lead to constructive discussions on matters of mutual interest.

Trump, who was recently sworn in for a second, non-consecutive term, has also expressed his willingness to meet with Putin and seek an early end to the conflict. He has criticized the war as "ridiculous" and damaging to Russia's economy.

The proposed meeting marks a significant shift in the Kremlin's approach, as there has been little high-level contact with Western leaders due to the war in Ukraine. Both leaders have indicated their readiness to work together, with Putin noting his "pragmatic and trusting" relationship with Trump.

The potential summit could address various issues, including arms control and energy, given that both countries are major oil producers and consumers. Putin highlighted the need for stable oil prices, which are crucial for both economies.

As the world watches closely, the outcome of this proposed meeting could have far-reaching implications for the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and global energy markets.

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