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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Stock Market Today: Chip Stocks Surge as Nvidia Leads the Way

U.S. stock futures surged on Monday as chip stocks shone, with Nvidia leading the charge. Contracts on the Nasdaq 100 jumped almost 1%, while S&P 500 futures rose roughly 0.7%, poised to build on Friday's tech-led rally. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also saw a modest rise of 0.3%.

The upbeat mood kicked off the first full-on week of 2025 for traders, highlighted by the release of the December nonfarm-payrolls report scheduled for Friday. Chip stocks rallied after a record revenue and strong sales forecast from Nvidia's server partner Foxconn, boosting optimism for AI-fueled growth. Nvidia shares rose 2% in pre-market trading, while peers AMD and Micron Technology each gained over 3%.

Focus remains on Nvidia later Monday when CEO Jensen Huang gives the keynote speech to start the CES tech conference. Investors will be listening for signs that Nvidia's new Blackwell chip has overcome supply glitches.



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