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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Stock Market Today: Chip Stocks Surge as Nvidia Leads the Way

U.S. stock futures surged on Monday as chip stocks shone, with Nvidia leading the charge. Contracts on the Nasdaq 100 jumped almost 1%, while S&P 500 futures rose roughly 0.7%, poised to build on Friday's tech-led rally. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also saw a modest rise of 0.3%.

The upbeat mood kicked off the first full-on week of 2025 for traders, highlighted by the release of the December nonfarm-payrolls report scheduled for Friday. Chip stocks rallied after a record revenue and strong sales forecast from Nvidia's server partner Foxconn, boosting optimism for AI-fueled growth. Nvidia shares rose 2% in pre-market trading, while peers AMD and Micron Technology each gained over 3%.

Focus remains on Nvidia later Monday when CEO Jensen Huang gives the keynote speech to start the CES tech conference. Investors will be listening for signs that Nvidia's new Blackwell chip has overcome supply glitches.



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