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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Stock Market Today: Chip Stocks Surge as Nvidia Leads the Way

U.S. stock futures surged on Monday as chip stocks shone, with Nvidia leading the charge. Contracts on the Nasdaq 100 jumped almost 1%, while S&P 500 futures rose roughly 0.7%, poised to build on Friday's tech-led rally. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures also saw a modest rise of 0.3%.

The upbeat mood kicked off the first full-on week of 2025 for traders, highlighted by the release of the December nonfarm-payrolls report scheduled for Friday. Chip stocks rallied after a record revenue and strong sales forecast from Nvidia's server partner Foxconn, boosting optimism for AI-fueled growth. Nvidia shares rose 2% in pre-market trading, while peers AMD and Micron Technology each gained over 3%.

Focus remains on Nvidia later Monday when CEO Jensen Huang gives the keynote speech to start the CES tech conference. Investors will be listening for signs that Nvidia's new Blackwell chip has overcome supply glitches.



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