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The Mortgage Renewal Wave Just Peaked — Here's What the Data Actually Shows

Published August 30, 2026 For three years, "the mortgage renewal wall" has been the scariest phrase in Canadian personal finance — the idea that a flood of ultra-cheap, pandemic-era mortgages would come due at much higher rates and trigger a wave of forced sales. That wall is now mostly behind us. Two new 2026 surveys, one from Royal LePage and one from Rates.ca, show what actually happened when it hit. The short version: it hurt, budgets tightened hard for a lot of people, but the mass default many feared simply didn't show up. The last big group is renewing right now Royal LePage's 2026 Mortgage Renewal Survey, released August 19 and based on a Leger poll of 1,127 Canadians renewing this year, pins down where things stand: about 12% of all outstanding Canadian mortgages are five-year, fixed-payment loans taken out during the 2020–2022 ultra-low-rate window, and this is their last major renewal wave. The Bank of Canada's overnight rate sat at just 0.25% through m...
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Stock Market Today: Investors Weigh Earnings and Trump's Stance on China

                                     

US stock futures struggled on Friday to pick up on the recent rally as investors filtered through the latest batch of earnings and weighed Donald Trump's hints at a softer stance on China tariffs. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) fell almost 0.3%, while S&P 500 futures (ES=F) nudged below the flat line after the index hit its first record high of 2025 on Thursday. Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) were also little changed.

President Trump's call at Davos for cuts to US interest rates, oil prices, and taxes spurred investor optimism for his policies, buoying stocks. The major gauges are set to end the holiday-shortened week with gains above 2%, demonstrating the power of Trump's comments even as Wall Street questions his ability to order the changes. On Thursday, Trump said he'd "rather not" impose tariffs on China — a softening in stance that eased some fears over the potential for trade war. Chinese stocks (000300.SS) rose after the remarks in a Fox interview.

Spirits are also getting a boost from a strong start to earnings season, with Verizon (VZ) and American Express (AXP) on Friday's docket. But a key test is looming with Big Tech's big players set to report results next week. Meanwhile, Boeing (BA) shares slipped after the jet maker said it expects to book a $3.5 billion quarterly loss thanks to strikes and layoffs. Elsewhere in markets, oil (CL=F, BZ=F) prices gained on Thursday, but were still on track for a weekly loss as markets rode the Trump roller-coaster.

Investors were assessing not just the China shift but also the president's demand that OPEC bring down the cost of crude. Gold (GC=F) closed in on a record high as the dollar (DX-Y.NYB) pulled back, making the metal cheaper. Preliminary readings on US manufacturing and services activity in January will shed light on how the economy is faring ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting next week.



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