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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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Trump Escapes Prison and Fines in Hush-Money Case

In a landmark decision, President-elect Donald Trump has avoided any prison time or fines in the hush-money case that has captivated the nation. On Friday, Judge Juan Merchan handed Trump an unconditional discharge, sparing him from jail time, fines, or probation. This ruling makes Trump the first convicted felon to hold the White House.

Trump was convicted in May on 34 counts of falsifying business records to cover up a $130,000 payment to adult film star Stormy Daniels during his 2016 presidential campaign. Despite the potential penalties of up to four years in prison and $5,000 in fines for each count, the judge opted for an alternative sentence, citing the unique circumstances of the case.

During the hearing, Trump maintained his innocence and described the case as a "tremendous setback" for the justice system. The decision has sparked widespread debate, with some praising the judge's discretion and others criticizing the lack of tangible consequences for the president-elect.

Trump's legal team has indicated plans to appeal the jury's verdict, but for now, he remains a convicted felon as he prepares to take office on January 20.

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