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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Alberta Minister Peter Guthrie Resigns Amidst Procurement Concerns

 

In a surprising turn of events, Alberta Infrastructure Minister Peter Guthrie has resigned from his cabinet position, citing a lack of confidence in the government's procurement practices. Guthrie, who represents the United Conservative Party (UCP) as the MLA for Airdrie-Cochrane, announced his resignation on social media, expressing his concerns over inconsistencies in procurement processes across all government departments.

Guthrie's resignation comes amidst ongoing allegations of high-level interference and favoritism in multimillion-dollar health contracts within Alberta Health Services (AHS). He had previously pushed for the establishment of a Financial Oversight Committee to review major government contracts, a proposal that was not supported by the majority of the cabinet.

Premier Danielle Smith acknowledged Guthrie's resignation and reiterated the seriousness of the allegations surrounding AHS contracts. Smith emphasized that she was not involved in the procurement decisions and has directed senior civil service to retain an independent third party to investigate the matter.

Guthrie's departure has raised questions about internal divisions within the UCP government as it prepares to unveil its fiscal plan and key legislation. Despite his resignation, Guthrie intends to remain in the UCP caucus as a private member, where he plans to continue advocating for accountability and transparency in government practices.



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