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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Alberta Minister Peter Guthrie Resigns Amidst Procurement Concerns

 

In a surprising turn of events, Alberta Infrastructure Minister Peter Guthrie has resigned from his cabinet position, citing a lack of confidence in the government's procurement practices. Guthrie, who represents the United Conservative Party (UCP) as the MLA for Airdrie-Cochrane, announced his resignation on social media, expressing his concerns over inconsistencies in procurement processes across all government departments.

Guthrie's resignation comes amidst ongoing allegations of high-level interference and favoritism in multimillion-dollar health contracts within Alberta Health Services (AHS). He had previously pushed for the establishment of a Financial Oversight Committee to review major government contracts, a proposal that was not supported by the majority of the cabinet.

Premier Danielle Smith acknowledged Guthrie's resignation and reiterated the seriousness of the allegations surrounding AHS contracts. Smith emphasized that she was not involved in the procurement decisions and has directed senior civil service to retain an independent third party to investigate the matter.

Guthrie's departure has raised questions about internal divisions within the UCP government as it prepares to unveil its fiscal plan and key legislation. Despite his resignation, Guthrie intends to remain in the UCP caucus as a private member, where he plans to continue advocating for accountability and transparency in government practices.



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