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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, TSX Sits Near Record Highs

  Saturday, July 11, 2026 Here's what Canadians need to know heading into the week, as markets brace for the Bank of Canada's rate decision and the CUSMA trade file keeps grinding along. 1. The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and a hold is all but locked in The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement lands July 15, and virtually every economist on Bay Street expects the overnight rate to stay parked at 2.25% — what would be a sixth straight pause. A stronger-than-expected June jobs report has taken away any urgency to cut, while cooling inflation and lingering trade uncertainty argue against a hike. Expect the accompanying statement to lean on familiar language: steady as she goes. 2. June's jobs report beat expectations, and the jobless rate ticked down Statistics Canada reported employers added roughly 18,000 jobs in June, ahead of forecasts and building on May's much larger 88,000-job gain. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5%, back to where it stood in Januar...

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Canada Vows Robust Retaliation Against ‘Unjustified’ U.S. Metal Tariffs

 

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has warned that if the United States moves forward with its proposed steel and aluminum tariffs—deemed “entirely unjustified”—Ottawa will respond decisively. Speaking at the sidelines of the Paris Artificial Intelligence summit, Trudeau stressed that Canadians will “stand up strongly and firmly if we need to,” underscoring his government's commitment to defending the long‐standing trade relationship between the two countries. 

Trudeau argued that imposing such tariffs would not only damage Canadian industries but also raise costs for American consumers by disrupting vital supply chains, from automotive manufacturing to energy imports. He emphasized that any tariff imposed by Washington would trigger immediate reciprocal measures from Canada to protect its economic interests and ensure that the free trade agreement remains intact. 

The Prime Minister’s remarks come amid growing concerns that these U.S. trade measures could escalate tensions and lead to a broader economic conflict—one that would hurt businesses and households on both sides of the border. Trudeau’s firm stance signals that Canada is prepared to use all available tools, including retaliatory tariffs and other countermeasures, to safeguard its economy against what he calls an “unacceptable” attack on free trade.

Trudeau’s message is clear: while Canada values its historical partnership with the United States, it will not hesitate to defend its industries and consumers from policies that threaten mutual prosperity.

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