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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...

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Canada Vows Robust Retaliation Against ‘Unjustified’ U.S. Metal Tariffs

 

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has warned that if the United States moves forward with its proposed steel and aluminum tariffs—deemed “entirely unjustified”—Ottawa will respond decisively. Speaking at the sidelines of the Paris Artificial Intelligence summit, Trudeau stressed that Canadians will “stand up strongly and firmly if we need to,” underscoring his government's commitment to defending the long‐standing trade relationship between the two countries. 

Trudeau argued that imposing such tariffs would not only damage Canadian industries but also raise costs for American consumers by disrupting vital supply chains, from automotive manufacturing to energy imports. He emphasized that any tariff imposed by Washington would trigger immediate reciprocal measures from Canada to protect its economic interests and ensure that the free trade agreement remains intact. 

The Prime Minister’s remarks come amid growing concerns that these U.S. trade measures could escalate tensions and lead to a broader economic conflict—one that would hurt businesses and households on both sides of the border. Trudeau’s firm stance signals that Canada is prepared to use all available tools, including retaliatory tariffs and other countermeasures, to safeguard its economy against what he calls an “unacceptable” attack on free trade.

Trudeau’s message is clear: while Canada values its historical partnership with the United States, it will not hesitate to defend its industries and consumers from policies that threaten mutual prosperity.

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