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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...

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Canada Vows Robust Retaliation Against ‘Unjustified’ U.S. Metal Tariffs

 

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has warned that if the United States moves forward with its proposed steel and aluminum tariffs—deemed “entirely unjustified”—Ottawa will respond decisively. Speaking at the sidelines of the Paris Artificial Intelligence summit, Trudeau stressed that Canadians will “stand up strongly and firmly if we need to,” underscoring his government's commitment to defending the long‐standing trade relationship between the two countries. 

Trudeau argued that imposing such tariffs would not only damage Canadian industries but also raise costs for American consumers by disrupting vital supply chains, from automotive manufacturing to energy imports. He emphasized that any tariff imposed by Washington would trigger immediate reciprocal measures from Canada to protect its economic interests and ensure that the free trade agreement remains intact. 

The Prime Minister’s remarks come amid growing concerns that these U.S. trade measures could escalate tensions and lead to a broader economic conflict—one that would hurt businesses and households on both sides of the border. Trudeau’s firm stance signals that Canada is prepared to use all available tools, including retaliatory tariffs and other countermeasures, to safeguard its economy against what he calls an “unacceptable” attack on free trade.

Trudeau’s message is clear: while Canada values its historical partnership with the United States, it will not hesitate to defend its industries and consumers from policies that threaten mutual prosperity.

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