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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Tariff Tipping Point: Trump Unleashes Reciprocal Tariffs

 

In a dramatic escalation of trade tensions, President Donald Trump declared today that reciprocal tariffs are set to take effect. Speaking in an emphatic post on his social media platform, Trump proclaimed, "Today is the big one: reciprocal tariffs!" The announcement signals that the administration will match any tariffs imposed on U.S. imports by other nations—a move aimed at leveling the playing field for American manufacturers.

While details remain sparse, the president hinted that the new policy will target countries that levy higher duties on U.S. goods, a tactic intended to protect domestic industries and generate additional government revenue. Economists, however, warn that such measures may ultimately burden American consumers with higher prices and disrupt global supply chains.

Market watchers are already anticipating swift retaliatory responses from key trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico. As the global trade landscape braces for further volatility, investors and businesses alike are keeping a close eye on the unfolding tariff war, which could signal a new chapter in U.S. trade policy.

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