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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...

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Mark Carney's Resounding Victory: A New Era for the Liberal Party


Mark Carney has been elected as the new leader of the Liberal Party in a decisive landslide victory, capturing nearly 86% of the vote. This marks a significant moment in Canadian politics, as Carney, a former governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, steps into the political spotlight with a strong mandate from his party.

Carney's leadership comes at a pivotal time, with the Liberal Party gearing up for an anticipated federal election. His economic expertise and fresh perspective are seen as key assets in addressing Canada's pressing challenges. In his victory speech, Carney emphasized the need for bold changes guided by Canadian values, signaling a shift in the party's direction.

Outgoing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has pledged to assist with the transition, while Carney prepares to appoint his cabinet and outline his vision for the country's future. The political landscape is set for a dynamic shift as Carney takes the helm of the Liberal Party.

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