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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Mark Carney's Resounding Victory: A New Era for the Liberal Party


Mark Carney has been elected as the new leader of the Liberal Party in a decisive landslide victory, capturing nearly 86% of the vote. This marks a significant moment in Canadian politics, as Carney, a former governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, steps into the political spotlight with a strong mandate from his party.

Carney's leadership comes at a pivotal time, with the Liberal Party gearing up for an anticipated federal election. His economic expertise and fresh perspective are seen as key assets in addressing Canada's pressing challenges. In his victory speech, Carney emphasized the need for bold changes guided by Canadian values, signaling a shift in the party's direction.

Outgoing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has pledged to assist with the transition, while Carney prepares to appoint his cabinet and outline his vision for the country's future. The political landscape is set for a dynamic shift as Carney takes the helm of the Liberal Party.

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