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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Mark Carney's Resounding Victory: A New Era for the Liberal Party


Mark Carney has been elected as the new leader of the Liberal Party in a decisive landslide victory, capturing nearly 86% of the vote. This marks a significant moment in Canadian politics, as Carney, a former governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, steps into the political spotlight with a strong mandate from his party.

Carney's leadership comes at a pivotal time, with the Liberal Party gearing up for an anticipated federal election. His economic expertise and fresh perspective are seen as key assets in addressing Canada's pressing challenges. In his victory speech, Carney emphasized the need for bold changes guided by Canadian values, signaling a shift in the party's direction.

Outgoing Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has pledged to assist with the transition, while Carney prepares to appoint his cabinet and outline his vision for the country's future. The political landscape is set for a dynamic shift as Carney takes the helm of the Liberal Party.

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