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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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China's Bold Counterstrike in Escalating Trade War

China has intensified the global trade war by imposing sweeping tariffs of 34% on all U.S. goods, marking a significant escalation in its economic standoff with the United States. This move comes in response to President Donald Trump's recent "Liberation Day" tariffs, which raised U.S. tariff barriers to unprecedented levels. Beijing's retaliatory measures also include export controls on rare earth materials and the addition of several entities to its "unreliable entity" list.

The repercussions of this trade war are reverberating across global markets, with fears of a recession looming large. Major stock indices have suffered sharp declines, and investment banks are warning of a potential contraction in global trade volumes. As tensions rise, the World Trade Organization has been drawn into the fray, with China filing a lawsuit against the U.S. over its tariff policies.

This escalating conflict underscores the fragility of international trade relations and raises questions about the long-term impact on the global economy. Will cooler heads prevail, or is this just the beginning of a prolonged economic battle? Only time will tell.

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