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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Devastating Storms Leave U.S. South and Midwest Reeling


A relentless storm system has wreaked havoc across the U.S. South and Midwest, leaving communities grappling with rising rivers and widespread destruction. Torrential rains and powerful tornadoes have claimed at least 18 lives, with Tennessee bearing the brunt of the fatalities. 

Floodwaters have inundated homes, roads, and critical infrastructure, prompting evacuations and emergency responses in states like Kentucky, Arkansas, and Missouri. The National Weather Service has issued warnings for major flood stages in multiple locations, forecasting continued threats as waterways swell. 

Amid the chaos, utilities have scrambled to shut off power and gas, while cities deploy sandbags to protect homes and businesses. The storms have also disrupted air travel, with hundreds of flights canceled or delayed. 

As communities brace for more rainfall and potential tornadoes, the resilience of those affected shines through. Emergency crews and volunteers are working tirelessly to provide aid and support to those in need. 

The devastation serves as a stark reminder of the power of nature and the importance of preparedness in the face of extreme weather events.

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