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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Market Jitters: U.S. Stock Futures Slide Amid Trump’s Criticism of Fed Chair Powell

U.S. stock futures took a hit early Monday as investors reacted to President Donald Trump’s escalating criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The remarks, which included renewed calls for Powell’s removal, have raised concerns about the central bank’s independence and its ability to navigate monetary policy effectively.

Trump’s latest comments follow reports that his administration is exploring whether firing Powell is an option. The uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s leadership has added to market volatility, with Dow E-minis dropping 344 points (0.87%), S&P 500 E-minis falling 53.75 points (1.01%), and Nasdaq 100 E-minis declining 209.25 points (1.14%).

Investors are already grappling with broader economic concerns, including ongoing trade tensions and the potential for further interest rate cuts. The dollar weakened against major currencies, while safe-haven assets like gold saw gains. Meanwhile, major tech and growth stocks, including Tesla and Nvidia, also faced premarket declines.

With uncertainty looming over both trade policy and monetary decisions, market participants will be closely watching upcoming economic data and corporate earnings reports for further direction.

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