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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Tech Relief: U.S. Exempts Electronics from Latest Tariffs

In a significant move, the U.S. government has decided to exempt smartphones, computers, and other electronics from its latest round of tariffs. This decision, announced by U.S. Customs and Border Protection, provides much-needed relief to major technology firms like Apple and Dell Technologies, as well as chip manufacturers such as Nvidia.

The exemptions cover 20 product categories, including laptops, hard drives, memory chips, and flat-panel monitors. These items, primarily imported from China, will no longer be subject to the steep 125% reciprocal tariffs or the 10% baseline tariffs on imports from other countries. This move is expected to ease the financial burden on consumers and tech companies alike, especially as many of these products are not manufactured domestically.

Analysts have hailed the decision as a positive step for the tech industry, which has been grappling with uncertainties due to ongoing trade tensions. Dan Ives, a Wedbush Securities analyst, described the announcement as "bullish news" for tech investors. 

The exemptions reflect an awareness of the potential impact of tariffs on inflation-weary consumers and the broader economy. While the trade war between the U.S. and China continues, this decision offers a temporary reprieve for the tech sector. 



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