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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Tensions Escalate: Pakistan Warns of Imminent Indian Strike


In a significant development, Pakistan's Information Minister, Attaullah Tarar, has claimed that the country possesses "credible intelligence" indicating that India plans to launch a military strike within the next 24 to 36 hours. This assertion comes amidst heightened tensions between the two nuclear-armed neighbors following a deadly attack in Indian-administered Kashmir that claimed 26 lives.

Tarar stated that India intends to use the recent Pahalgam incident as a pretext for aggression, a claim that India has not yet commented on. Pakistan has denied any involvement in the attack and has called for a neutral investigation. Meanwhile, both nations have taken retaliatory measures, with India suspending the Indus Waters Treaty and Pakistan closing its airspace to Indian flights.

The situation has drawn international attention, with fears of escalation between the two countries. Pakistan has warned that any act of aggression will be met with a decisive response, emphasizing that India would bear full responsibility for any consequences in the region.

The unfolding events underscore the fragile relationship between the two nations, with the world watching closely for further developments.

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