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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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Tensions Escalate: Pakistan Warns of Imminent Indian Strike


In a significant development, Pakistan's Information Minister, Attaullah Tarar, has claimed that the country possesses "credible intelligence" indicating that India plans to launch a military strike within the next 24 to 36 hours. This assertion comes amidst heightened tensions between the two nuclear-armed neighbors following a deadly attack in Indian-administered Kashmir that claimed 26 lives.

Tarar stated that India intends to use the recent Pahalgam incident as a pretext for aggression, a claim that India has not yet commented on. Pakistan has denied any involvement in the attack and has called for a neutral investigation. Meanwhile, both nations have taken retaliatory measures, with India suspending the Indus Waters Treaty and Pakistan closing its airspace to Indian flights.

The situation has drawn international attention, with fears of escalation between the two countries. Pakistan has warned that any act of aggression will be met with a decisive response, emphasizing that India would bear full responsibility for any consequences in the region.

The unfolding events underscore the fragile relationship between the two nations, with the world watching closely for further developments.

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