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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Tensions Escalate: Pakistan Warns of Imminent Indian Strike


In a significant development, Pakistan's Information Minister, Attaullah Tarar, has claimed that the country possesses "credible intelligence" indicating that India plans to launch a military strike within the next 24 to 36 hours. This assertion comes amidst heightened tensions between the two nuclear-armed neighbors following a deadly attack in Indian-administered Kashmir that claimed 26 lives.

Tarar stated that India intends to use the recent Pahalgam incident as a pretext for aggression, a claim that India has not yet commented on. Pakistan has denied any involvement in the attack and has called for a neutral investigation. Meanwhile, both nations have taken retaliatory measures, with India suspending the Indus Waters Treaty and Pakistan closing its airspace to Indian flights.

The situation has drawn international attention, with fears of escalation between the two countries. Pakistan has warned that any act of aggression will be met with a decisive response, emphasizing that India would bear full responsibility for any consequences in the region.

The unfolding events underscore the fragile relationship between the two nations, with the world watching closely for further developments.

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