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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...
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Tensions Escalate: Pakistan Warns of Imminent Indian Strike


In a significant development, Pakistan's Information Minister, Attaullah Tarar, has claimed that the country possesses "credible intelligence" indicating that India plans to launch a military strike within the next 24 to 36 hours. This assertion comes amidst heightened tensions between the two nuclear-armed neighbors following a deadly attack in Indian-administered Kashmir that claimed 26 lives.

Tarar stated that India intends to use the recent Pahalgam incident as a pretext for aggression, a claim that India has not yet commented on. Pakistan has denied any involvement in the attack and has called for a neutral investigation. Meanwhile, both nations have taken retaliatory measures, with India suspending the Indus Waters Treaty and Pakistan closing its airspace to Indian flights.

The situation has drawn international attention, with fears of escalation between the two countries. Pakistan has warned that any act of aggression will be met with a decisive response, emphasizing that India would bear full responsibility for any consequences in the region.

The unfolding events underscore the fragile relationship between the two nations, with the world watching closely for further developments.

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