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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...

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Trump's Tariff Wars: A New Chapter in Global Trade

President Donald Trump has escalated his trade policy with the implementation of a new round of tariffs, marking a significant shift in the United States' approach to international commerce. Dubbed "reciprocal tariffs," these measures aim to address trade imbalances by imposing higher rates on goods from countries with trade surpluses with the U.S. The latest tariffs, which took effect on April 9, 2025, have sparked reactions worldwide, with trading partners like China announcing countermeasures, including an 84% tariff on American goods.

The economic impact of these tariffs is already being felt, with stock markets experiencing volatility and concerns rising about the potential for prolonged trade wars. While the administration argues that these tariffs will bolster domestic industries and reduce the trade deficit, critics warn of the risks to global economic stability and the strain on international relations.

The question remains: will these tariffs achieve their intended goals, or will they further complicate the global trade landscape?

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