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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trump's Tariff Wars: A New Chapter in Global Trade

President Donald Trump has escalated his trade policy with the implementation of a new round of tariffs, marking a significant shift in the United States' approach to international commerce. Dubbed "reciprocal tariffs," these measures aim to address trade imbalances by imposing higher rates on goods from countries with trade surpluses with the U.S. The latest tariffs, which took effect on April 9, 2025, have sparked reactions worldwide, with trading partners like China announcing countermeasures, including an 84% tariff on American goods.

The economic impact of these tariffs is already being felt, with stock markets experiencing volatility and concerns rising about the potential for prolonged trade wars. While the administration argues that these tariffs will bolster domestic industries and reduce the trade deficit, critics warn of the risks to global economic stability and the strain on international relations.

The question remains: will these tariffs achieve their intended goals, or will they further complicate the global trade landscape?

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