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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...

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Trump's Tariff Wars: A New Chapter in Global Trade

President Donald Trump has escalated his trade policy with the implementation of a new round of tariffs, marking a significant shift in the United States' approach to international commerce. Dubbed "reciprocal tariffs," these measures aim to address trade imbalances by imposing higher rates on goods from countries with trade surpluses with the U.S. The latest tariffs, which took effect on April 9, 2025, have sparked reactions worldwide, with trading partners like China announcing countermeasures, including an 84% tariff on American goods.

The economic impact of these tariffs is already being felt, with stock markets experiencing volatility and concerns rising about the potential for prolonged trade wars. While the administration argues that these tariffs will bolster domestic industries and reduce the trade deficit, critics warn of the risks to global economic stability and the strain on international relations.

The question remains: will these tariffs achieve their intended goals, or will they further complicate the global trade landscape?

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