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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Decision Looms, TSX Sits Near Record Highs

  Saturday, July 11, 2026 Here's what Canadians need to know heading into the week, as markets brace for the Bank of Canada's rate decision and the CUSMA trade file keeps grinding along. 1. The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and a hold is all but locked in The Bank of Canada's next rate announcement lands July 15, and virtually every economist on Bay Street expects the overnight rate to stay parked at 2.25% — what would be a sixth straight pause. A stronger-than-expected June jobs report has taken away any urgency to cut, while cooling inflation and lingering trade uncertainty argue against a hike. Expect the accompanying statement to lean on familiar language: steady as she goes. 2. June's jobs report beat expectations, and the jobless rate ticked down Statistics Canada reported employers added roughly 18,000 jobs in June, ahead of forecasts and building on May's much larger 88,000-job gain. The unemployment rate slipped to 6.5%, back to where it stood in Januar...

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Trump's Trade Diplomacy: A Step Toward Resolution with the EU

In a significant move, former U.S. President Donald Trump has expressed optimism about resolving trade disputes with the European Union (EU). This comes amidst ongoing tensions over tariffs and trade barriers that have strained transatlantic relations. Trump's announcement of a temporary 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs exceeding 10% signals a willingness to engage in constructive dialogue.

The EU has reciprocated by suspending its planned counter-tariffs for the same duration, creating a window for negotiations. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen emphasized the importance of this pause, describing it as an opportunity to pursue a "frictionless" trading relationship. Both sides aim to address key issues, including tariffs on steel and aluminum, agricultural subsidies, and intellectual property rights.

This diplomatic effort could pave the way for a more collaborative relationship between the U.S. and the EU, potentially setting a precedent for future trade agreements worldwide. While challenges remain, the temporary halt in tariffs offers a glimmer of hope for resolving long-standing disputes and fostering economic cooperation.

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