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5 Things to Know Today: US Inflation Day, Canada’s Job Losses and Oil Near $106 | Oct. 14, 2026

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Good morning. The biggest number of the day lands at 8:30 a.m. ET, and it could shape where mortgage rates and the loonie go next. Here are the five things worth knowing before you start your day. 1 US inflation report lands at 8:30 a.m. ET September U.S. CPI is the last major inflation reading before the Fed meets Oct. 27–28. Economists expect headline inflation to climb to roughly 3.6%–3.7% from 3.4% in August, a gasoline-driven jump of about 0.6% on the month, while core inflation is seen cooling to around 0.2% month over month. The Fed raised its target range to 3.75%–4.00% on Sept. 16, but September payrolls added just 29,000 jobs, and markets now see roughly a one-in-four chance of another hike in October, with December still largely priced in. What it means for you: A hotter-than-expected print can push bond yields higher, and Canadian fixed mortgage rates follow the 5-year bond. A cooler one eases the pressu...

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Escalation in South Asia: India Strikes Pakistan Over Kashmir Attack, Islamabad Vows Retaliation

In a dramatic escalation of tensions between two nuclear-armed neighbors, India launched missile strikes on Pakistan early Wednesday, targeting what it described as terrorist infrastructure in response to a deadly attack on Hindu tourists in Indian-administered Kashmir last month. The attack, which claimed 26 lives, has been blamed on Pakistan-based militant groups, though Islamabad denies involvement.

Pakistan has condemned the strikes as a “blatant act of war”, reporting that at least 26 people were killed and 46 injured in the Indian assault. Pakistani officials claim that civilian sites, including mosques, were among the targets, contradicting India's assertion that it exercised “considerable restraint” in selecting its targets. 

The situation has sparked international concern, with UN Secretary-General António Guterres urging both nations to exercise military restraint. Meanwhile, Pakistan has vowed to retaliate, stating that it reserves the right to respond at a time and place of its choosing. 

With both sides exchanging heavy artillery fire across the contested Kashmir region, fears of a broader conflict loom large. The world watches anxiously as diplomatic efforts attempt to de-escalate the crisis. 


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