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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Escalation in South Asia: India Strikes Pakistan Over Kashmir Attack, Islamabad Vows Retaliation

In a dramatic escalation of tensions between two nuclear-armed neighbors, India launched missile strikes on Pakistan early Wednesday, targeting what it described as terrorist infrastructure in response to a deadly attack on Hindu tourists in Indian-administered Kashmir last month. The attack, which claimed 26 lives, has been blamed on Pakistan-based militant groups, though Islamabad denies involvement.

Pakistan has condemned the strikes as a “blatant act of war”, reporting that at least 26 people were killed and 46 injured in the Indian assault. Pakistani officials claim that civilian sites, including mosques, were among the targets, contradicting India's assertion that it exercised “considerable restraint” in selecting its targets. 

The situation has sparked international concern, with UN Secretary-General António Guterres urging both nations to exercise military restraint. Meanwhile, Pakistan has vowed to retaliate, stating that it reserves the right to respond at a time and place of its choosing. 

With both sides exchanging heavy artillery fire across the contested Kashmir region, fears of a broader conflict loom large. The world watches anxiously as diplomatic efforts attempt to de-escalate the crisis. 


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