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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Israel's New Gaza Strategy Sparks Global Concern

Israel has approved a plan to capture the entire Gaza Strip and maintain control over it for an unspecified period, according to Israeli officials. The decision, made in an early morning vote by Israeli cabinet ministers, marks a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict.

The plan aims to defeat Hamas and secure the release of hostages held in Gaza. However, it also involves the displacement of hundreds of thousands of Palestinians to southern Gaza, exacerbating an already dire humanitarian crisis. Since the collapse of a ceasefire in mid-March, Israel has intensified its military operations, capturing approximately 50% of Gaza and restricting humanitarian aid, including food, fuel, and water.

International opposition to the plan is expected to be fierce, with concerns over the long-term implications of Israel's extended presence in Gaza. The United Nations and humanitarian organizations have warned of severe shortages and worsening conditions for civilians. Meanwhile, Israel continues to engage with various countries regarding potential solutions, including controversial proposals for population relocation.

As the situation unfolds, global leaders and humanitarian groups are closely monitoring developments, urging diplomatic efforts to prevent further escalation and address the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

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