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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Israel's New Gaza Strategy Sparks Global Concern

Israel has approved a plan to capture the entire Gaza Strip and maintain control over it for an unspecified period, according to Israeli officials. The decision, made in an early morning vote by Israeli cabinet ministers, marks a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict.

The plan aims to defeat Hamas and secure the release of hostages held in Gaza. However, it also involves the displacement of hundreds of thousands of Palestinians to southern Gaza, exacerbating an already dire humanitarian crisis. Since the collapse of a ceasefire in mid-March, Israel has intensified its military operations, capturing approximately 50% of Gaza and restricting humanitarian aid, including food, fuel, and water.

International opposition to the plan is expected to be fierce, with concerns over the long-term implications of Israel's extended presence in Gaza. The United Nations and humanitarian organizations have warned of severe shortages and worsening conditions for civilians. Meanwhile, Israel continues to engage with various countries regarding potential solutions, including controversial proposals for population relocation.

As the situation unfolds, global leaders and humanitarian groups are closely monitoring developments, urging diplomatic efforts to prevent further escalation and address the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

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