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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Israel's New Gaza Strategy Sparks Global Concern

Israel has approved a plan to capture the entire Gaza Strip and maintain control over it for an unspecified period, according to Israeli officials. The decision, made in an early morning vote by Israeli cabinet ministers, marks a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict.

The plan aims to defeat Hamas and secure the release of hostages held in Gaza. However, it also involves the displacement of hundreds of thousands of Palestinians to southern Gaza, exacerbating an already dire humanitarian crisis. Since the collapse of a ceasefire in mid-March, Israel has intensified its military operations, capturing approximately 50% of Gaza and restricting humanitarian aid, including food, fuel, and water.

International opposition to the plan is expected to be fierce, with concerns over the long-term implications of Israel's extended presence in Gaza. The United Nations and humanitarian organizations have warned of severe shortages and worsening conditions for civilians. Meanwhile, Israel continues to engage with various countries regarding potential solutions, including controversial proposals for population relocation.

As the situation unfolds, global leaders and humanitarian groups are closely monitoring developments, urging diplomatic efforts to prevent further escalation and address the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

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