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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Israel's New Gaza Strategy Sparks Global Concern

Israel has approved a plan to capture the entire Gaza Strip and maintain control over it for an unspecified period, according to Israeli officials. The decision, made in an early morning vote by Israeli cabinet ministers, marks a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict.

The plan aims to defeat Hamas and secure the release of hostages held in Gaza. However, it also involves the displacement of hundreds of thousands of Palestinians to southern Gaza, exacerbating an already dire humanitarian crisis. Since the collapse of a ceasefire in mid-March, Israel has intensified its military operations, capturing approximately 50% of Gaza and restricting humanitarian aid, including food, fuel, and water.

International opposition to the plan is expected to be fierce, with concerns over the long-term implications of Israel's extended presence in Gaza. The United Nations and humanitarian organizations have warned of severe shortages and worsening conditions for civilians. Meanwhile, Israel continues to engage with various countries regarding potential solutions, including controversial proposals for population relocation.

As the situation unfolds, global leaders and humanitarian groups are closely monitoring developments, urging diplomatic efforts to prevent further escalation and address the humanitarian crisis in Gaza.

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