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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Ontario's Measles Outbreak Worsens as Cases Surge


Ontario is grappling with a rapidly escalating measles outbreak, as health officials report nearly 200 new cases in the past week. The province's total count of probable and confirmed infections has now reached 1,440 since the outbreak began in October.

The highly contagious virus has spread to new regions across Canada, with Nova Scotia and Northwest Territories recently confirming their first cases. Alberta has also seen a sharp rise, reporting nearly 300 cases since mid-March, including three children in intensive care.

Ontario's southwestern region remains the hardest hit, with nearly 500 cases concentrated there. Health officials emphasize that the majority of infections are occurring among unvaccinated children, infants, and teenagers.

With hospitalizations climbing 101 patients admitted, including 75 children public health authorities are urging residents to ensure their vaccinations are up to date. The province continues to ramp up immunization efforts in an attempt to curb the outbreak's spread.



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