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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Ontario's Measles Outbreak Worsens as Cases Surge


Ontario is grappling with a rapidly escalating measles outbreak, as health officials report nearly 200 new cases in the past week. The province's total count of probable and confirmed infections has now reached 1,440 since the outbreak began in October.

The highly contagious virus has spread to new regions across Canada, with Nova Scotia and Northwest Territories recently confirming their first cases. Alberta has also seen a sharp rise, reporting nearly 300 cases since mid-March, including three children in intensive care.

Ontario's southwestern region remains the hardest hit, with nearly 500 cases concentrated there. Health officials emphasize that the majority of infections are occurring among unvaccinated children, infants, and teenagers.

With hospitalizations climbing 101 patients admitted, including 75 children public health authorities are urging residents to ensure their vaccinations are up to date. The province continues to ramp up immunization efforts in an attempt to curb the outbreak's spread.



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