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Wall Street Pauses as Fed Meeting Looms: Futures Hold Steady

U.S. stock futures were little changed on Tuesday as investors awaited the start of the Federal Reserve’s final policy meeting of the year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures all hovered near flat, reflecting a cautious mood across Wall Street. The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but traders are focused on Chair Jerome Powell’s comments and the central bank’s updated economic projections. Markets are looking for clues on when rate cuts might begin in 2024, with inflation cooling but still above the Fed’s long-term target. Recent gains in equities have been fueled by optimism that the Fed’s tightening cycle is over, yet uncertainty remains about how quickly monetary policy will shift toward easing. Until then, investors appear content to hold their positions, waiting for clearer signals from the Fed before making bold moves.

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Dollar’s Downturn: A Five-Month Low Amid Rate Cut Speculation


The U.S. dollar is poised for its most significant weekly decline in five months, driven by the Federal Reserve’s potential shift towards rate cuts, contrasting with the firmer stance of European central banks.

This divergence has fueled gains for the euro and the pound, while futures markets now reflect a 75% likelihood of a U.S. rate cut by March. Despite a rally in risk assets, concerns linger over the U.S. economy’s slowdown and persistent inflation, which could prompt a return of inflation if the Fed eases too quickly. 

Meanwhile, the ECB and BoE maintain their focus on combating inflation, with investors still anticipating rate cuts next year. The yen has also strengthened, marking its longest streak of gains against the dollar since mid-2020.

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