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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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GTA under winter weather travel advisory with storm expected to dump up to 10 cm of snow

 

The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) is under a winter weather travel advisory as a storm is expected to dump up to 10 cm of snow. 

Environment Canada has issued travel advisories for nearly the whole Golden Horseshoe, with snow expected to start falling in the late afternoon or early evening. Winds of up to 70 km/h mixed with the falling snow could significantly reduce visibility for drivers. 

The snow is expected to transition to rain later tonight or early Saturday morning as temperatures rise above freezing. The TTC says it will deploy extra employees and maintenance vehicles through the transit system to spread salt, clear snow from surfaces, and keep signals, switches and overhead power operating in the event of the storm on Friday.

 

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