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CMHC Just Cut Its Housing Forecast — What It Means If You're Buying, Selling, or Renewing

  Published July 28, 2026 Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation quietly downgraded its outlook for the rest of 2026 last week, and the new numbers are worth a look no matter which side of the housing market you're standing on. The federal housing agency's Summer 2026 update now calls for slower growth, softer home prices, fewer new builds and continued easing in rental markets right through the end of the year — with a split that leaves Ontario and B.C. looking a lot different from the Prairies and Quebec. Here's what's actually in the update, and what it means for your specific situation. What CMHC changed The agency's baseline call for 2026 is a Canadian economy growing at just 0.7%, with high borrowing costs, weak population growth and cautious buyers keeping a lid on demand even as affordability has technically improved. The practical result, nationally: Housing starts are expected to fall to about 241,400 units this year, down from 259,028 in 2025 Resale acti...

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Markets decline as Fed minutes fail to boost confidence



The stock markets in the U.S. and Canada started the new year with two consecutive sessions of losses, as investors remained cautious about the Federal Reserve’s plans to cut interest rates this year.

The Fed minutes from its December meeting, released on Wednesday, showed that policymakers were increasingly convinced that inflation was under control and that overly restrictive monetary policy could harm the economy. However, the minutes did not provide much clarity on when and how much the Fed would lower rates, disappointing some traders who had hoped for more guidance.

The S&P 500 index fell 0.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.18% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 0.76%. The TSX composite index also ended down 0.3%, extending its pullback from a 19-month high.

Among the sectors, energy was the only bright spot, as oil prices rose sharply due to a disruption at Libya’s top oilfield. Suncor Energy was the top performer on the TSX, gaining 5.9%. On the other hand, materials, consumer discretionary and financials dragged the markets lower, as a stronger U.S. dollar weighed on gold and copper prices and rate-sensitive stocks.

Airline stocks also suffered, as higher oil prices raised concerns about fuel costs. The S&P 1500 passenger airlines index plunged 4%.

Some individual stocks also made headlines, such as First Quantum Minerals, which surged 11% after a report that Barrick Gold was exploring a possible bid for the company. Barrick’s shares, however, fell 2.9%. Citigroup also continued its rally, rising 1.1% to its highest level since mid-August 2022, after a positive analyst report from Wells Fargo.

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