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5 Things to Know Today — September 27, 2026

  Sunday, September 27, 2026  |  MoneySavings.ca A milestone in the Canada-US trade war hits at midnight, the Bank of Canada's rate decision is now a near-coin-flip, and Canada's economic pivot to China is showing real results. Here are the five things that matter for your wallet today. 01 OF 05 The US Alcohol Import Ban Takes Effect Tonight at Midnight At 12:01 a.m. Eastern tonight, the United States stops accepting new shipments of packaged Canadian beer, wine, cider, and spirits. The ban was signed by President Trump on September 8 under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, escalating the trade dispute beyond the 50% tariffs that took effect on August 22. Everything already on US store shelves stays there and can still be sold — the ban stops restocking, not consumption. Goods imported before tonight but not yet cleared through customs remain subject to the 50% duty rather than the ban. Bulk spirits shipped in containers over four litres are exempt; consumer-sized bo...

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Canadian Banks Face Earnings Challenges Amid Commodity Slump

 

Futures for Canada’s main stock index tumbled on Wednesday, tracking a decline in commodity prices. Investors are closely monitoring big bank earnings in Canada and awaiting key inflation data from the United States. Here are the key points:

  1. Market Movement:

    • March futures on the S&P/TSX index were down 0.6% at 6:52 a.m. ET, mirroring losses in Wall Street peers.
    • The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended slightly lower on Tuesday, with financial shares offsetting gains in energy.
  2. Energy and Materials Sectors:

    • Energy shares are expected to reverse gains due to a 1% decline in oil prices. The prospect of U.S. interest rate cuts and a rise in U.S. crude stocks counterbalances the boost from a potential extension to OPEC+ supply curbs.
    • Materials stocks may extend losses as gold prices edge down, influenced by a stronger dollar, and concerns persist about China’s property sector affecting copper prices.
  3. Bank Earnings:

    • Investors continue to analyze quarterly earnings from Canadian banks:
      • Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) reported a lower first-quarter profit due to larger provisions for loans.
      • National Bank of Canada reported a higher first-quarter profit, cushioned by robust performance in its financial markets unit despite increased loan loss provisions.
  4. Inflation and GDP Data:

    • The U.S. is set to release its gross domestic product (GDP) data for Q4 2023, along with the personal consumption expenditures price index, a key measure of inflation.
    • Investors are also awaiting Canada’s GDP reading.
  5. Commodities Snapshot:

    • Gold futures: $2,036.4 (-0.4%).
    • U.S. crude: $78.1 (-1.0%).
    • Brent crude: $82.95 (-0.8%).

The outlook for Canadian banks in 2024 remains uncertain, with mortgage rates and interest rates playing a pivotal role. Unless there are rate cuts, most Canadian banks are expected to report earnings declines. As investors navigate these headwinds, the path forward hinges on economic data and central bank decisions.

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