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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Dow Leads Gains Amid Earnings Surge

 

In today’s stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) took the lead, rising approximately 0.3%. The broader market also saw positive movement, with the S&P 500 (^GSPC) climbing around 0.2%. Even the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) managed to erase earlier session losses and finish in the green.

Investors are closely monitoring earnings season, which is now halfway done. The question on everyone’s mind: Can strong earnings results reignite the stock rally?

Here are some notable highlights from today’s market:

  1. Spotify (SPOT): Shares of the music streaming giant surged after the company provided robust guidance.

  2. Eli Lilly (LLY): The pharmaceutical company’s stock popped as its 2024 profit forecast exceeded estimates.

  3. New York Community Bank (NYCB): Unfortunately, investor concerns over the health of this commercial real estate lender caused its shares to plummet by more than 22%.

Additionally, comments from Federal Reserve officials added to the market chatter. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester emphasized caution in moving interest rates down too soon, while Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari acknowledged positive inflation data but stressed that the Fed isn’t fully prepared to tackle higher prices yet.

As the market navigates these dynamics, investors remain vigilant about the possibility of interest rate cuts and the impact on their portfolios. 

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