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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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Stock Market Bounces Back After Tuesday’s Slide


 U.S. stocks are showing resilience today, recovering some of the ground lost during Tuesday’s tumultuous trading session. After a sharp 1.4% decline on Tuesday, the S&P 500 is now 0.5% higher in early trading on Wall Street.

Investors were jolted by a hotter-than-expected report on inflation, which led to concerns that the Federal Reserve might maintain high interest rates for longer than anticipated. The delay in forecasts for interest rate cuts has been a significant factor affecting market sentiment. Expectations of rate cuts had previously fueled the stock market’s recent record-setting rally.

Despite the recent volatility, several companies are making headlines today:

  1. DaVita: The health care company reported stronger-than-expected profits and revenue for the latest quarter, propelling its stock up by 8.2% in the S&P 500.
  2. Lyft: After a wild ride in off-hours trading driven by a typo in its earnings report, Lyft shares surged by 32.8%. The ride-hailing company corrected the typo, but the initial confusion led to a significant after-hours boost.
  3. Uber Technologies: The ride-hailing giant’s board authorized a program to buy back up to $7 billion of its stock, a move that investors tend to favor for its direct impact on per-share profits.

A calmer bond market is also contributing to the steadier stock performance. Treasury yields have eased after their sharp rise, with the 10-year Treasury yield currently at 4.26%, down from Tuesday’s level of 4.32%. However, it remains significantly higher than the start of this month’s 3.85%.

While uncertainties persist, today’s recovery suggests that investors are cautiously navigating the complex landscape of interest rates and economic growth. As always, the stock market remains a dynamic arena, influenced by a multitude of factors. Stay tuned for further developments as we continue to monitor the financial landscape.


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