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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Stock Market Today: Dow Ends Lower as Investors Await Key Inflation Data

                                                    


The stock market experienced a cautious retreat today as investors closely monitored ongoing quarterly earnings reports from corporate America. All eyes are now on the release of key inflation data later this week.

Market Recap

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): The Dow closed 66 points lower, representing a 0.2% decline by 16:00 ET (21:00 GMT).
  • S&P 500: The broader market index fell 0.4% during the same period
  • NASDAQ Composite: The tech-heavy NASDAQ slipped 0.1%.

Earnings Highlights

Several companies made headlines with their earnings announcements

  1. Domino’s Pizza (NYSE: DPZ): Despite inflation pressures impacting margins, Domino’s Pizza stock soared over 5% after reporting quarterly results that exceeded Wall Street expectations. The pizza chain also announced a dividend hike and approved further share repurchases.
  1. Freshpet Inc (NASDAQ: FRPT): The pet-food manufacturer’s stock surged nearly 19% as fourth-quarter revenue and profit beat analyst estimates. Increased sales, coupled with strategic media spending, contributed to Freshpet’s strong performance.
  1. Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRKa): Despite posting its second consecutive record annual profit, Warren Buffett’s conglomerate saw its shares decline by 1.7%, inching closer to a $1 trillion market value.

Retail Earnings Ahead

As the fourth-quarter earnings season winds down, attention shifts to major retailers. Keep an eye on the following companies releasing their quarterly results this week:

  • Lowe’s Companies (NYSE: LOW)
  • Macy’s (NYSE: M)
  • TJX Companies (NYSE: TJX)
  • Best Buy (NYSE: BBY)

These retail earnings reports will provide insights into consumer strength amid concerns about sticky inflation and the prospect of higher interest rates.

Awaiting Inflation and GDP Data

Last week, the Federal Reserve signaled its reluctance to trim interest rates in the near term. However, investors remain cautious as they anticipate more key inflation readings. Specifically, the PCE price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, is in focus. Additionally, a second reading of fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data is due on Wednesday. While U.S. economic growth has remained resilient compared to other developed countries, recent quarters have seen a cooling trend.

Keep an eye on market developments as we navigate the intersection of earnings, inflation, and economic data.


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