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Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...
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Stock Market Today: Dow Ends Lower as Investors Await Key Inflation Data

                                                    


The stock market experienced a cautious retreat today as investors closely monitored ongoing quarterly earnings reports from corporate America. All eyes are now on the release of key inflation data later this week.

Market Recap

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): The Dow closed 66 points lower, representing a 0.2% decline by 16:00 ET (21:00 GMT).
  • S&P 500: The broader market index fell 0.4% during the same period
  • NASDAQ Composite: The tech-heavy NASDAQ slipped 0.1%.

Earnings Highlights

Several companies made headlines with their earnings announcements

  1. Domino’s Pizza (NYSE: DPZ): Despite inflation pressures impacting margins, Domino’s Pizza stock soared over 5% after reporting quarterly results that exceeded Wall Street expectations. The pizza chain also announced a dividend hike and approved further share repurchases.
  1. Freshpet Inc (NASDAQ: FRPT): The pet-food manufacturer’s stock surged nearly 19% as fourth-quarter revenue and profit beat analyst estimates. Increased sales, coupled with strategic media spending, contributed to Freshpet’s strong performance.
  1. Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRKa): Despite posting its second consecutive record annual profit, Warren Buffett’s conglomerate saw its shares decline by 1.7%, inching closer to a $1 trillion market value.

Retail Earnings Ahead

As the fourth-quarter earnings season winds down, attention shifts to major retailers. Keep an eye on the following companies releasing their quarterly results this week:

  • Lowe’s Companies (NYSE: LOW)
  • Macy’s (NYSE: M)
  • TJX Companies (NYSE: TJX)
  • Best Buy (NYSE: BBY)

These retail earnings reports will provide insights into consumer strength amid concerns about sticky inflation and the prospect of higher interest rates.

Awaiting Inflation and GDP Data

Last week, the Federal Reserve signaled its reluctance to trim interest rates in the near term. However, investors remain cautious as they anticipate more key inflation readings. Specifically, the PCE price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, is in focus. Additionally, a second reading of fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data is due on Wednesday. While U.S. economic growth has remained resilient compared to other developed countries, recent quarters have seen a cooling trend.

Keep an eye on market developments as we navigate the intersection of earnings, inflation, and economic data.


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