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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Stocks Rebound After Tuesday’s Sell-Off: A Resilient Recovery

 

On Wednesday, US stocks staged a remarkable comeback, recovering from the previous day’s sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected inflation data. Investors witnessed a swift turnaround as major indices regained their footing.

Key Highlights

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): The blue-chip index rebounded by 0.4%, reclaiming ground after a 500-point drop—its worst performance since March 2022
  • S&P 500 (GSPC): The broader market index surged by nearly 1%, demonstrating resilience in the face of recent volatility.
  • Nasdaq Composite (IXIC): Tech stocks also participated in the recovery, climbing approximately 1.3%.

The surprise consumer inflation report had initially spooked the market, but calm is gradually settling in. Investors are now adjusting their expectations regarding interest rate cuts. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee emphasized that one inflation report should not cause undue panic, and the underlying trend still points to inflation approaching the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

Lyft (LYFT), the ride-hailing giant, experienced a wild ride of its own. After an initial 67% surge following a financial update, the stock corrected an error in its statement, ultimately closing up a more modest 35% during Wednesday’s trading session.

As the market recalibrates, investors are closely monitoring economic indicators and central bank policies. The path forward remains uncertain, but the resilience displayed by stocks in the face of adversity is a testament to their enduring appeal.


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