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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Trump Faces $350 Million Judgment in Civil Fraud Trial

 


In a significant legal development, Donald Trump has been slapped with a $350 million judgment by a New York State Supreme Court judge. The ruling comes after a 2½-month trial that exposed what the judge deemed a years-long scheme orchestrated by Trump to deceive banks and others through inflated financial statements. Here are the key details:
  1. Verdict: The judge ruled against Trump, imposing a $364 million penalty for fraudulent business practices in the state of New York.
  2. Deceptive Practices: Trump’s wealth, fame, and the White House were built on a multinational collection of properties, including skyscrapers and golf courses. However, the court found that his success was not just a result of harmless bragging but rather a pattern of deceptive practices.
  3. Three-Year Ban: In addition to the hefty fine, Trump has been barred from serving as an officer or director of any New York corporation for three years.
  4. Appeal: Trump’s legal team has already indicated their intention to appeal the decision.

This landmark judgment is a victory for New York Attorney General Letitia James, who filed the lawsuit against Trump. The former president’s legal battles continue, and the repercussions of this ruling are likely to reverberate in both legal and political circles.


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