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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Why Food Prices at Grocery Stores in Canada are Rising in February

 

As Canadians head to their local grocery stores, they may notice a pinch in their wallets. Food prices have been on the rise, and there are several reasons behind this trend.

1. Supply Chain Disruptions

Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, supply chains have faced disruptions worldwide. From transportation delays to labor shortages, these challenges have impacted the availability and cost of food products. When supply chains falter, prices tend to climb.

2. Labor Shortages and Higher Wages

Labor shortages have affected various industries, including agriculture and food processing. As businesses struggle to find workers, wages have increased. These higher labor costs are eventually passed on to consumers through higher food prices.

3. Tariffs and Trade Policies

Trade tensions and tariffs between countries can impact the cost of imported goods. Canada’s trade relationships and agreements play a role in determining the prices of items on our grocery shelves. Changes in trade policies can lead to fluctuations in prices.

4. Weather-Related Challenges

Poor weather conditions in growing regions can affect crop yields. Droughts, floods, or extreme temperatures can damage crops, reducing supply and driving up prices. Canadian farmers and importers face these weather-related challenges, impacting the affordability of food.

5. Anticompetitive Practices

Metro’s CEO recently mentioned that the company expected to pass on higher costs from suppliers as an industry-wide blackout period for price hikes came to an end. While some price adjustments are necessary, anticompetitive practices can exacerbate the situation.

In summary, a combination of supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, trade policies, weather-related issues, and anticompetitive practices has contributed to the rising food prices in Canada. As consumers, it’s essential to stay informed and make informed choices while navigating the grocery aisles.

Remember, the next time you reach for that loaf of bread or a bunch of bananas, you’re not just buying food—you’re also paying for a complex web of global factors that influence the cost of your groceries. 

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