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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Ceasefire Negotiations Between Israel and Hamas to Continue in Qatar


Efforts to establish peace in the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas are set to progress, with ceasefire talks anticipated to recommence in Qatar this Sunday. These discussions, facilitated by Egyptian officials, represent a critical juncture as they bring together Israeli and Hamas representatives for the first time since Ramadan began.

The proposed three-stage plan by Hamas outlines a roadmap to halt hostilities. Initially, a six-week ceasefire would involve a prisoner exchange, followed by a permanent ceasefire declaration and, ultimately, the lifting of the blockade on Gaza to allow reconstruction efforts.

Despite the complexity of the situation, with demands for a permanent ceasefire from Hamas and Israel’s objective to “annihilate Hamas,” there is a cautious optimism that these talks could mark a turning point in a conflict that has deeply affected the Gaza region and its inhabitants.

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