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Bond Yields Are Nearing 5%: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC

  Published September 11, 2026 Something is happening in the bond market this week that matters more to your wallet than the daily swings in the TSX. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note closed in on 5% on Friday — 4.95% , its highest level since 2023 and approaching territory not seen since 2007 — after climbing 18 basis points in a single week. Canadian bond yields have followed the same path: the 10-year Government of Canada bond hit its highest level in over two years earlier this month, and the 5-year bond — the one that actually sets your fixed mortgage rate — has drifted up to roughly 3.41%, about a quarter-point higher than it was a month ago. If you're renewing a mortgage, shopping for a HELOC, or just trying to figure out whether now is the moment to lock in, here's what's actually going on and what it means for your payments. Why bond yields, not the Bank of Canada, are driving fixed rates right now It's a common mix-up: people watch the Bank of Canada...
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Nasdaq Lags as Markets Take a Breather


In today’s trading session, US stocks reversed gains late in the day, signaling a pause in the record-setting run that has characterized Wall Street during the first quarter of 2024. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Nasdaq Composite: The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, which had been on track for a record close, dipped approximately 0.4% as the session concluded. Tech stocks faced headwinds, contributing to the overall decline.

  2. S&P 500: The broader S&P 500 index also retreated, falling nearly 0.3%. Investors closely monitored economic data releases, including durable goods orders and the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index.

  3. Durable Goods Orders: In February, durable goods orders rebounded by 1.4%, driven by increases in transportation equipment and machinery orders. This positive data reflects economic resilience.

  4. Home Price Index: The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index rose 6% in January compared to the previous year, marking the highest annual increase since 2022.

  5. Consumer Confidence: The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index remained relatively stable at 104.7 for March. However, the “Expectations Index,” which gauges consumers’ short-term outlook, dipped to 73.8, potentially signaling a future economic downturn.

  6. Upcoming Event: All eyes are on Friday’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), a crucial indicator of inflation. Investors eagerly await insights into “core” PCE growth, which the Federal Reserve closely monitors.

  7. Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.: Former President Donald Trump’s social media company made its Wall Street debut after merging with Digital World Acquisition Corp. Shares of Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) surged, finishing the day up 16%.

As the week progresses, keep an eye on economic indicators and corporate developments. The stock market remains dynamic, and investors should stay informed to navigate these fluctuations effectively. 

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