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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Stock Market Today: Stocks Rebound as Earnings Take Center Stage


In today’s market, US stocks are making a comeback, with investors shifting their attention away from interest rate concerns and focusing on quarterly earnings. Here’s a brief overview of the current situation:

  1. S&P 500 Rebounds: After a three-day streak of losses, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) is up approximately 0.4%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) has also gained 0.4%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) leads the gains, rising over 0.5%.

  2. Rate Cut Worries Eased: Despite recent worries about heightened tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty surrounding rate cuts, investors are now looking to earnings season for positive momentum.

  3. Big Bank Results: Robust earnings from major banks signal a return to strength on Wall Street. United Airlines (UAL) shares rose 7% after posting a revenue beat, while ASML (ASML), the largest supplier of equipment to chipmakers worldwide, saw its sales to China hold up amid US curbs.

  4. Netflix Earnings Anticipation: Netflix (NFLX) is set to report earnings after the close on Thursday. Investors are optimistic about continued benefits from the company’s crackdown on password sharing and a strong original content slate. However, there’s some concern about growth slowing in the second half of the year.

As we navigate the market, keep an eye on earnings reports and how they impact stock performance. The road ahead remains dynamic, but for now, earnings are taking center stage. Stay tuned for further updates! 

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