Skip to main content

Featured

Monday’s CPI Could Decide Your Next Mortgage Payment

  Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September. Inflation is sitting at 3%. The Bank of Canada has to decide on October 28 which of those facts matters more, and on Monday morning one more number lands to help it choose. If you carry a variable-rate mortgage, a HELOC or a renewal this winter, that number has a price tag. Two reports pulling in opposite directions The jobs data came first. Statistics Canada reported on October 9 that employment fell by 68,000 in September, pushing the unemployment rate to 6.5% from 6.4%. It followed a drop of about 42,000 in August, which means more than half of the 181,000 jobs gained between April and July have now been wiped out. Ontario shed 20,000 positions on its own. Markets reacted within hours: the odds of a quarter-point Bank of Canada hike on October 28 dropped to roughly 25% from about 40%, according to LSEG data reported by Reuters. Inflation is telling the opposite story. The consumer price index rose 3.0% year over year in August, matching Ju...

article

Stock Market Update: Oil Surge and Fed’s Caution Impact Stocks Ahead of March Jobs Report

 




The stock market faced headwinds today as oil prices soared to their highest level in six months, while a Federal Reserve official’s warning added to investor caution. Here are the key highlights:
  1. Market Retreat:

    • The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) declined by almost 1.4%, shedding 550 points.
    • The S&P 500 (GSPC) dropped 1.2%, marking its worst single-day decline since February 13.
    • The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) slipped 1.4%.
  2. Fed’s Caution:

    • Minnesota Fed President Neel Kashkari suggested that the Fed may not cut interest rates in 2024 if inflation progress stalls.
    • Investors reacted to this cautious stance, reversing strong midday gains.
  3. Oil Price Surge:

    • Escalating tensions in the Middle East drove oil futures up by more than 1%.
    • West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) settled at $86.59 per barrel, and Brent (BZ=F) closed at $90.65 per barrel, reaching their highest levels since October.
  4. March Jobs Report Anticipation:

    • All eyes are now on the upcoming March jobs report, scheduled for release on Friday morning.
    • Experts expect it to provide insights into the robustness of the US labor market.
    • Initial jobless claims data released today showed a rise to 221,000, the highest level since January.

In summary, the stock market remains sensitive to oil price fluctuations and Fed communications. Investors eagerly await the jobs report, which will influence the Fed’s policy decisions. Stay tuned for further updates! 

Comments