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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Wall Street Recovers: Indices Climb After Recent Tumble

 

In a bid to recover from a recent slump, Wall Street’s stock indexes have seen a modest ascent. The S&P 500 rose by 0.4%, attempting to offset its 0.7% decline from the previous day. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 76 points, or 0.2%, and the Nasdaq composite improved by 0.5%.

The uplift was partly fueled by GE Aerospace, which soared 6.4% following its split from General Electric’s power and energy business. Cal-Maine Foods also contributed to the positive trend with a 2.6% rise after reporting higher-than-expected profits, thanks to record egg sales.

However, not all news was positive, as Intel faced a 7.6% drop after revealing financial losses in its foundry business.

Investors remain cautious as the Federal Reserve signals potential interest rate cuts, contingent on inflation moving towards their 2% target. Despite recent robust economic reports, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reassured that rate reductions are still on the table for later this year, provided inflation trends downward.

This mixed economic landscape presents a challenging environment for traders, balancing optimism with a watchful eye on the Fed’s next moves.

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